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Interest Rate Declines May Boost U.S. REITs Appeal

Rising interest rates have pressured U.S. REITs, but forecasts for a decline could reignite investor interest. Realty Income, Vici Properties, STAG Industrial, and Digital Realty Trust are highlighted as promising options amidst this shifting market landscape.

Date: 
AI Rating:   6

The article discusses the impact of rising interest rates on Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the U.S. REITs traditionally attract income investors due to their obligation to distribute at least 90% of taxable income as dividends.

However, increasing interest rates have created two significant challenges for the sector:

  • Higher Costs for Property Acquisition: New property purchases become more expensive, which could constrain growth and profitability.
  • Competition for Income: The elevated yields on risk-free investments, such as CDs and T-bills, have made REITs less attractive as income-generating investments.

Despite these hurdles, the forecast for declining interest rates presents a potentially favorable environment for REITs going forward. The author suggests that investors may want to consider the following REITs as strong options:

  • Realty Income (NYSE: O): With a portfolio of 15,450 properties, it boasts a high occupancy rate exceeding 96%. It offers a monthly dividend, having raised its payout 126 times since its IPO.
  • Vici Properties (NYSE: VICI): Owning casino and entertainment properties, Vici maintains a 100% occupancy rate, and has raised its dividend over the last two years, offering a forward yield of 4.9%.
  • STAG Industrial (NYSE: STAG): This REIT focuses on industrial properties with significant leases to major companies. It offers a 3.7% dividend yield, having consistently increased its dividend since 2011.
  • Digital Realty Trust (NYSE: DLR): This REIT is involved in the data center market, though it has experienced a drop in occupancy. It maintains a focus on long-term growth despite challenges.

In summary, while rising interest rates have pressured REIT valuations and yields, a forecasted decline in rates presents a potential opportunity for investors, particularly in the highlighted REITs, which have resilient business models despite current challenges.