Shell (SHEL) Earnings Forecast: Mixed Signals for Investors

Shell's latest performance shows a marginal rise but reveals underlying challenges ahead of earnings reports. Analysts predict a decline in EPS, while revenue is expected to increase, creating a complex scenario for investors to navigate.

Date: 14-09-2024

AI Rating: 5

Shell (SHEL) has experienced a mixed stock performance, showing a small increase of +0.7% in the latest trading session, while suffering an overall loss of 8.46% in the previous month. This underperformance is notable against the Oils-Energy sector, which only saw a loss of 3.91%, and the S&P 500's gain of 4.86%. The performance metrics suggest that investors are cautious about Shell's future.

Upcoming earnings reports are critical for Shell, with analysts projecting an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.73, indicating a decline of 6.99% year-over-year. In contrast, revenue is expected to rise, reaching $86.4 billion, which reflects a significant growth of 10.75% compared to the prior year. This discrepancy raises questions about profit margins and profitability.

For the full fiscal year, analysts anticipate an EPS of $8.61 and revenue of $347.2 billion, showing improvements of 2.5% and 7.43% respectively. Although the growth in revenue is positive, the anticipated decline in EPS may lead to concerns regarding profit margins moving forward.

Investors are advised to keep an eye on the Zacks Rank, currently at #3 (Hold) for Shell. Typically, a lower rank indicates a lack of enthusiasm from analysts, and coupled with the recent downward adjustment of the EPS estimate by 0.23%, it casts doubt on the company's short-term prospects.

Valuation metrics also reveal that Shell holds a Forward P/E ratio of 7.78, which is slightly above the industry average of 7.65. This could imply that investors are currently paying a premium for its stock in relation to its growth potential. Moreover, the PEG ratio of 1.51 aligns with the industry average, suggesting that Shell's valuation is being maintained despite its challenges.

Investors should remain vigilant as the overall industry rank of Shell sits in the bottom 14% of all industries assessed, potentially placing additional pressure on stock performance.

Stocks: SHEL