Oatly Shares Plummet Following Price Target Reductions

Oatly shares dropped over 11% this week after analysts slashed price targets. Despite the negativity, one analyst remains bullish, expecting improvements in profitability moving forward.

Date: 08-03-2025

AI Rating: 4

Stock Performance
Oatly's shares have seen a significant decline of over 11%, primarily influenced by two analysts who downgraded their price targets significantly. This kind of downward adjustment is generally indicative of bearish market sentiment towards the company's financial health.

Price Target Reductions
Piper Sandler's Michael Lavery reduced Oatly’s fair value assessment from $40 to $16 per share, although he continues to hold a bullish stance by maintaining a buy recommendation. Similarly, Morgan Stanley's Dara Mohsenian lowered her valuation from $23 to $10.20 and retained her equal weight (hold) recommendation. The drastic cuts in these price targets show a lack of confidence in Oatly's current market position, reflecting expectations of underperformance.

Sales Forecast
Lavery adjusted his sales forecast for Oatly, now estimating approximately $830 million for the year, down from $835 million. This minor adjustment signifies slight revenue growth concerns that could temper investors' enthusiasm. His projection for 2026 has also been revised down to $890 million. Such a reduction could lower investor expectations regarding the company’s growth trajectory.

Profitability and Margins
Despite the overall negative sentiment, Lavery expresses optimism about Oatly's recent efforts to enhance profitability, suggesting that margins may improve. However, no specific metrics for profit margins or future earnings are provided, leaving investors with little tangible data to fully gauge potential upside.

Reverse Stock Split
The enactment of a 20-for-1 reverse stock split is rarely a sign of a flourishing business environment and often raises red flags among investors. This corporate action tends to be associated with companies struggling financially and can negatively impact stock perception.

Overall, the report presents a picture of uncertainty and cautiousness surrounding Oatly’s stock, making it a less attractive option for prospective investors while increasing risk of further declines.

Stocks: OTLY