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Okta Shows Signs of Turnaround Amid Stock Price Struggles

A recent report on Okta outlines its challenging stock performance over the past years, yet highlights positive trends including profitability and revenue growth driven by AI initiatives, suggesting potential for recovery in investor confidence.

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AI Rating:   7

Stock Performance Overview: Okta's stock has seen a decline of about 75% from its 2021 peak and a year-to-date drop of 19%. This has caused concern among investors, as consistent growth is essential for stock price stability.

Earnings Per Share (EPS): In the fiscal Q2, Okta reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.72, which marked more than a doubling year-over-year. This significant improvement in EPS is a strong indicator of the company's growing profitability.

Net Income: Following its cost control initiatives, Okta achieved its first quarterly net income profit on a GAAP basis in fiscal Q2. This milestone suggests a shift toward financial stability and could positively influence investor sentiment moving forward.

Revenue Growth: Okta experienced a 16% annual revenue increase in its most recent quarter, indicative of a solid business performance. Furthermore, the company maintains a long-term expectation of around 13% revenue growth for the fiscal year.

Free Cash Flow (FCF): The report mentions that Okta generated an impressive free cash flow of $607 million over the past four quarters, showcasing effective cash management and the capability to invest in future growth initiatives.

Net Retention Ratio: With a net retention ratio at 110%, Okta demonstrates a positive trend wherein existing clients are willing to spend more, suggesting loyalty and potential for increased future revenue from the existing customer base.

Future Prospects: The introduction of Okta AI is positioned to enhance the company's market presence and potentially fuel further growth. The available $80 billion total addressable market provides significant upside opportunity for increased valuation over time. Investors are likely to closely watch these developments.