Lucid Group Poised for Growth Amid EV Market Downturn

Lucid Group faces a mixed year, but analyst expectations for sales growth are surging, with predictions to nearly double by 2025. The anticipated production of new affordable models could provide a significant sales boost, making it a potential buy for investors.

Date: 28-04-2025

AI Rating: 7

Sales Growth and Stock Valuation: Lucid Group (NASDAQ: LCID) has witnessed a decline in its stock price, similar to key competitors such as Tesla and Rivian. However, the company has favorable earnings projections, with analysts forecasting a substantial increase in sales—projected to double by 2025. This suggests a strong recovery and a potential turnaround in performance.

Currently, Lucid is trading at a multiple of 7.4 times trailing sales, which is considered a discount compared to major competitors. The forward sales multiple is particularly attractive at just 5 times forward sales, indicating that the stock may be undervalued given its growth potential.

Upcoming Model Launch: A key highlight for Lucid is the introduction of its Gravity SUV platform, which is expected to significantly contribute to revenue in the upcoming years. Additionally, company executive Derek Jenkins confirmed that production for three new, more affordable models—priced under $50,000—is on track to begin in 2026. This model is anticipated to compete directly with Tesla's Model Y, which may further capture the market share in a highly competitive EV landscape.

Market Comparisons: Lucid's relative stock premium compared to Rivian makes sense given its expected developments, particularly when Rivian is not launching new models this year. The successful introduction of Lucid's new model could result in substantial sales growth, potentially hitting an inflection point that would propel its market position further.

In summary, while Lucid has experienced a stock price decrease of 17% this year, the prospect of significant sales growth makes it a compelling consideration for investors looking for growth opportunities within the EV market. This context is critical as the EV sector continues to evolve and competition intensifies.

Stocks: LCID TSLA RIVN