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Snowflake Readies for Strong Q1 Earnings Report

Snowflake is set to announce Q1 fiscal 2026 results, with a revenue forecast of $1 billion and an EPS of 22 cents. Year-over-year growth is projected at 21%. Investors are keenly watching these metrics, as past performance suggests potential upside.

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AI Rating:   7

Overview of SNOW's Upcoming Earnings Report

Snowflake (SNOW) is poised to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on May 21, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate predicting a revenue of $1 billion, reflecting a 21.13% year-over-year growth. The expected earnings per share (EPS) is set at 22 cents, indicating a substantial increase of 57.14% compared to the previous year. In light of Snowflake's tendency to beat earnings estimates, the average earnings surprise of 28.04% over the trailing four quarters enhances the anticipation for this earnings announcement.

Key Metrics Affecting Investors

Snowflake's solid performance seems to stem from its expanding clientele and robust product adoption. Key metrics like the net revenue retention rate of 126% highlight the successful engagement with existing customers, and the rapid increase in large clients (those contributing over $1 million in revenue) shows strong demand for its services. The growing customer base, from 9,384 to over 11,159, is a critical factor contributing to the outlook of sustained revenue growth.

Snowflake plans to report product revenues between $955 million and $960 million for the upcoming quarter, indicating a robust year-over-year growth of 21-22%. These factors contribute positively to investor sentiment.

Potential Risks

Despite these promising figures, several challenges loom. Snowflake expects increased operational expenses of about $15 million due to its annual sales kickoff event, which could weigh on its non-GAAP operating margin for Q1. Moreover, the company's stock carries a valuation concern, as reflected in a lower value score indicating that SNOW is perceived as overvalued at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 12.81X, significantly higher than its sector peers.

Conclusion

Overall, while Snowflake showcases strong growth indicators through its expanding operations, a rising customer base, and healthy revenue expectations, potential risks tied to increasing costs and valuation may create mixed sentiments among investors. The stock is currently rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting that investors might consider waiting for more favorable entry points.

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