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Tesla's Cost-Effective 4680 Cells Could Impact EV Market

Tesla achieves battery production cost efficiency, signaling potential market shifts. Is this the turning point for its stock performance?

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AI Rating:   5

Tesla has announced a significant achievement in its in-house production of 4680 battery cells, claiming they are now the lowest cost per kilowatt-hour (kWh) compared to external suppliers. This development illustrates Tesla's commitment to innovation and vertical integration within its operations. The significance of this milestone is particularly impactful given Tesla's role as more than just a battery manufacturer.

Earnings Per Share (EPS) figures for Tesla have been trending negatively, as indicated by a downward revision in the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past month. This is a cause for concern, as weakening EPS could put pressure on share prices in the near future. Investors may perceive this as a red flag, potentially leading to volatility.

Revenue Growth prospects may improve with reduced battery costs, allowing Tesla to potentially lower its vehicle prices and enhance sales volumes. The anticipated reduced cost structure is crucial, especially as competition in the EV space heightens.

Profit Margins could experience positive effects if Tesla successfully integrates its battery production with lower input costs, especially with its planned lithium refinery. This strategic move could result in improved margins over time, further positioning Tesla as a price leader in the EV industry.

Free Cash Flow (FCF) could also be bolstered by better profit margins and lower production costs impacting operational efficiency positively. Investors often monitor FCF closely as it indicates the ability to fund growth without additional debt.

Despite positive advancements, Tesla's current valuation raises some concerns. Trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 6.82, which is above industry averages, might deter value-oriented investors.

Overall, while there are significant positive developments regarding cost efficiency and operational scale, the downward revision in EPS estimates represents a risk that could weigh on stock performance in the short term.