Netflix's Stock Performance: Insights and Future Prospects

Netflix's future performance may be promising as analysts predict an earnings per share of $5.74 and revenue growth of 12.5% for the current quarter, marking a +24% increase for the fiscal year. Investors may consider these trends as stock price indicators.

Date: 15-03-2025

AI Rating: 7

Performance Overview

Netflix appears to have faced challenges recently, with a share price decline of -14.7% over the past month, compared to the broader market and its industry. However, the focus shifts to its earnings expectations which signal a more positive outlook.

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

For the current quarter, Netflix is projected to achieve an EPS of $5.74, representing an increase of +8.7% year-over-year. The EPS estimate for the fiscal year indicates a substantial growth of +24%, reflecting a consistent upward revision of expectations.

Revenue Growth

Revenue estimates paint a favorable picture for Netflix. The consensus forecast for the current quarter stands at $10.54 billion, highlighting a year-over-year growth of +12.5%. Additionally, estimates for the upcoming fiscal years indicate growth rates of +14% and +11.5% respectively, suggesting positive revenue momentum.

Recent Results and Surprise History

Netflix's last quarter results showcased revenues of $10.25 billion, exceeding consensus estimates by +1.29%. Additionally, the positive earnings surprise of +1.67% further solidifies investor confidence and reflects the company’s track record of surpassing consensus forecasts in recent quarters.

Valuation Concerns

Despite the optimistic growth forecasts, Netflix’s valuation is less favorable, receiving an F grade indicating it trades at a premium relative to peers. This may prompt some investors to re-evaluate their positions based on valuation metrics.

Conclusion

In summary, while Netflix faces short-term volatility, the earnings growth and revenue projections illustrate a potential for upward price movement. Investors will need to weigh the promising forecasts against valuation concerns when making investment decisions.

Stocks: NFLX