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Analysts Cut Price Targets for Neurocrine Biosciences Shares

Neurocrine shares face pressure as a trio of analysts reduced their price targets, indicating a more cautious outlook. Despite this, the company's recent profitability report exceeded expectations.

Date: 
AI Rating:   5
Earnings Analysis
The report highlights that Neurocrine Biosciences had a better-than-expected profitability in the fourth quarter. This may indicate a positive trend, although it does not specify the Earnings Per Share (EPS), which is often a critical factor for investors.

Price Target Reductions
The reduction of price targets by analysts, particularly the drastic cut by UBS from $176 to $154, is a significant indicator of the cautious sentiment towards Neurocrine. This reduction is attributed to uninspiring guidance for their leading drug, Ingrezza, which raises concerns among investors about future revenue growth.

Revenue Growth Outlook
Analysts project Ingrezza sales between $2.5 billion and $2.6 billion this year, a slight increase from the 2024 figure of $2.3 billion. This modest growth may not align with investors’ expectations for aggressive revenue growth, which could cause stock prices to stagnate or drop due to lower confidence in the company’s future earnings potential.

Analyst Sentiment
Despite the cuts, all three analysts maintained buy recommendations on Neurocrine’s stock, which suggests that there is still optimism around its long-term prospects despite short-term challenges. This mixed sentiment could play a role in stabilizing the stock price, at least in the near term.

Conclusion
Overall, while the recent profitability report could be a silver lining for Neurocrine, the simultaneous price target reductions and cautious sales outlook for Ingrezza may weigh heavily on stock prices. Investors should brace for potential volatility as this dynamic unfolds in the market.